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A mathematical expression known as Benford's law provides an example of an unexpected relationship among randomly selected sequences of first significant digits (FSDs). Newcomb [Note on the frequency of use of the different digits in natural numbers, Am. J. Math. 4 (1881) 39–40], and later...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010873996
In this article, we consider the problem of criterion choice in information recovery and inference in a large-deviations (LD) context. Kitamura and Stutzer recognize that the Maximum Entropy Empirical Likelihood estimator can be given a LD justification (Kitamura and Stutzer, 2002). We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005511928
"It is 15:00 in Nairobi. Do you know where your enumerators are??" Good quality data is paramount for applied economic research. If the data are distorted, corresponding conclusions may be incorrect. We demonstrate how Benford’s law, the distribution that first digits of numbers in certain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368822
In the Empirical Estimating Equations (E^3) approach to estimation and inference estimating equations are replaced by their data-dependent empirical counterparts. It is odd but with E^3 there are models where the E^3-based estimator does not exist for some data set, and does exist for others....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010843134
Maximum Probability method is used to translate possibly contiguous and overlapping categorical observations into frequencies.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556314
Methods, like Maximum Empirical Likelihood (MEL), that operate within the Empirical Estimating Equations (E3) approach to estimation and inference are challenged by the Empty Set Problem (ESP). We propose to return from E3 back to the Estimating Equations, and to use the Maximum Likelihood...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008540771
Empirical Likelihood (EL) and other methods that operate within the Empirical Estimating Equations (E3) approach to estimation and inference are challenged by the Empty Set Problem (ESP). ESP concerns the possibility that a model set, which is data-dependent, may be empty for some data sets. To...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009646054
Using a large deviations approach, Maximum A-Posteriori Probability (MAP) and Empirical Likelihood (EL) are shown to possess, under misspecification, an exclusive property of Bayesian consistency. Under conditions of consistency, regardless of prior the MAP estimator asymptotically coincides...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010537314
The Bayesian Sanov Theorem (BST) identifies, under both correct and incorrect specification of infinite dimensional model, the points of concentration of the posterior measure. Utilizing this insight in the context of Polya urn sampling, Bayesian nonparametric consistency is established. Polya...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010537510
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008583386