The existing discussions about origins of the Asian crisis can be summarized into two broad views: "economic fundamentals" view and "financial panic" view. This paper attempts to distinguish these two views empirically by testing external solvency of the country using intertemporal borrowing...

The existing discussions about the origins of the Asian crisis can be summarized into two broad views: the "economic fundamentals" view and the "financial panic" view. This paper attempts to distinguish between these two views empirically by testing external solvency and examining intertemporal...

The structure and policy architecture of the world economy, as it emerges from the historic challenges now underway, will be affected by the dramatic rise of Asian economies and deepening connections among them. This important book examines the rapid transformation of the Asian economy, the...

This article interprets time series facts regarding the sources of business fluctuations in Japan and attempts to uncover possible characteristics of the effects of monetary policy over the last two decades. It argues that given the institutional features of the Bank of Japan's operating...

Is the Japanese economy really trapped at the zero interest rate bound? The question seems particularly important because recent theoretical discussions on liquidity traps suggest that undesirable dynamics such as "deflationary spiral" are likely to occur when the economy reaches the lower zero...

This note reexamines the recent evidence by Hoffman, Rasche and Tieslau (1995) that cointegrating M1 demand relationships are stable in postwar industrial countries particularly when the restriction of a unit income elasticity is imposed. We apply Gregory and Hansen's (1996) residual-based test...

Since the beginning of the 1990s, Japanese inflation has been relatively stable with slight declines, while output has remained volatile with a prolonged stagnation. This paper attempts to explore possible explanations for these macroeconomic facts based on the aggregate demand and supply...

This paper reexamines evidence on M2 demand cointegration in the postwar United States. Equilibrium relations between M2 and various sets of its determinants are analyzed using quarterly observations from 1959:1 to 1988:4, 1990:4, and 1993:4 based on three different testing methods. For earlier...