La composición de la población española ha cambiado en los últimos años debido a la llegada de la población inmigrante. En este trabajo se acota cuánto podría llegar a cambiar la esperanza de vida en salud y en discapacidad de la población española, debido a la incorporación de un...

El presente trabajo se centra en el estudio del tiempo hasta la discapacitación para las actividades de la vida diaria en la población activa de Cataluña mayor de 60 años. El riesgo de sufrir discapacidades es mayor para este grupo de edad que en los más jóvenes y, además, se incrementa...

Este trabajo analiza los costes de los cuidados de larga duración (CLD) ligados a los individuos en situación de dependencia. El coste económico unitario de los servicios de cuidados de larga duración está relacionado con el tiempo esperado de necesidad de la atención y la intensidad de...

This article focuses on business risk management in the insurance industry. A methodology for estimating the profit loss caused by each customer in the portfolio due to policy cancellation is proposed. Using data from a European insurance company, customer behaviour over time is analyzed in...

This paper questions the equidistribution assumption for the random effects in a frequency risk model. Two models are presented, which use parametric and nonparametric links between the variance of the random effect and frequency risk. They are estimated on a Spanish automobile insurance...

In the risk theory context, let us consider the classical collective model. The aim of this paper is to obtain a flexible bivariate joint distribution for modelling the couple (S,N), where N is a count variable and S=X1+...+XN is the total claim amount. A generalization of the classical...

We present a methodology to forecast mortality rates and estimate longevity and mortality risks. The methodology uses Generalized Dynamic Factor Models fitted over the differences of the log-mortality rates. We compare prediction performance with models previously proposed in the literature,...

Two speed management policies were implemented in the metropolitan area of Barcelona aimed at reducing air pollution concentration levels. In 2008, the maximum speed limit was reduced to 80 km/h and, in 2009, a variable speed system was introduced on some metropolitan motorways. This paper...

We solve a portfolio selection problem of an investor with a deterministic savings plan who aims to have a target wealth value at retirement. The investor is an expected power utility-maximizer. The target wealth value is the maximum wealth that the investor can have at retirement. By...

A new family of distortion risk measures -GlueVaR- is proposed in Belles- Sampera et al. (2014) to procure a risk assessment lying between those provided by common quantile-based risk measures. GlueVaR risk measures may be expressed as a combination of these standard risk measures. We show here...