Between September 1998 and Spring 1999 the liquidity of the Hungarian inter-bank money market and the corresponding interest rates for overnight funds showed significantly larger fluctuations relative to the previous periods. This study aims to analyse the causes behind the imbalances...

This memorandum provides a scenario analysis of the likely macroeconomic impacts of a limited foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) outbreak in New Zealand. It is worth stressing at the outset that it is not a forecast, nor a ‘central’ scenario, but an exercise to gauge broad magnitudes and to trace...

Market analysts and central banks often use the implied volatility of FX options as an indicator of expected exchange rate uncertainty. The aim of our study is to investigate the limits of this statistic. We present some key factors that may deviate the value of implied volatility from the...

The application of the market microstructure theory to foreign exchange markets in the last few years has introduced a new approach to the analysis of exchange rates. The most important variable of the microstructure analysis, the so-called order flow has proven to be suitable for explaining a...

This study offers some insight into indirect interbank forint/euro trading through transaction-level data from the dominant electronic trading platform used on this market. We provide an in-depth view of the structure and liquidity of interbank foreign exchange trading by using simple,...

Customer order flow – signed transaction volume between market makers and their customers – is a key concept in the microstructure approach to exchange rates. We attempt to explore what the data tells us about the role of customer order flow in the market for Hungarian forint, using the...

The global financial crisis posed as much of a challenge for the foreign exchange reserve policies of emerging countries as it did for their economic policies and financial systems. This pushed many countries into rethinking their strategies about foreign exchange reserves. This study presents...

This article deals with forint bonds issued by non-residents. We present the role of such bonds in financing the external debt in the domestic currency, as well as the typical cash flows associated with their issue and the related interest rate swaps. By buying so-called euroforint bonds issued...

We create a network of bilateral correlations of changes in sovereign bond yields and individual bank equity price changes since 2000. We extract some stylized facts from this network of asset price correlations and document the clear differences in asset price correlations between safe havens...