Showing 1 - 10 of 24
We propose new tools for visualizing large numbers of functional data in the form of smooth curves or surfaces. The proposed tools include functional versions of the bagplot and boxplot, and make use of the first two robust principal component scores, Tukey's data depth and highest density...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005427617
We propose to approximate the unknown error density of a nonparametric regression model by a mixture of Gaussian densities with means being the individual error realizations and variance a constant parameter. This mixture density has the form of a kernel density estimator of error realizations....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011141016
The unknown error density of a nonparametric regression model is approximated by a mixture of Gaussian densities with means being the individual error realizations and variance a constant parameter. Such a mixture density has the form of a kernel density estimator of error realizations. An...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010785340
Error density estimation in a nonparametric functional regression model with functional predictor and scalar response is considered. The unknown error density is approximated by a mixture of Gaussian densities with means being the individual residuals, and variance as a constant parameter. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010871304
This paper considers forecasting life table, and proposes a model averaging approach to improve point and interval forecast accuracy. Illustrated by data of eleven countries, we compare point and interval forecasts among ten principal component and two random walk methods. Based on averaged...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851056
We propose a sampling approach to bandwidth estimation for a nonparametric regression model with continuous and discrete types of regressors and unknown error density. The unknown error density is approximated by a location-mixture of Gaussian densities with means being the individual errors,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010860408
We present a nonparametric method to forecast a seasonal univariate time series, and propose four dynamic updating methods to improve point forecast accuracy. Our methods consider a seasonal univariate time series as a functional time series. We propose first to reduce the dimensionality by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010749993
We present a nonparametric method to forecast a seasonal univariate time series, and propose four dynamic updating methods to improve point forecast accuracy. Our methods consider a seasonal univariate time series as a functional time series. We propose first to reduce the dimensionality by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004998471
Using the age- and sex-specific data of 14 developed countries, we compare the point and interval forecast accuracy and bias of ten principal component methods for forecasting mortality rates and life expectancy. The ten methods are variants and extensions of the Lee-Carter method. Based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009225984
Accurate forecasts of age-specific fertility rates are critical for government policy, planning and decision making. With the availability of Human Fertility Database (2011), we compare the empirical accuracy of the point and interval forecasts, obtained by the approach of Hyndman and Ullah...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010542337