Associate Professor Martin Lally presented Forward Looking Estimates of the Market Risk Premium at the half-day Regulatory Cost of Capital II: What is the Market Risk Premium? Copies of Martins underlying papers on the topics can be obtained by contacting him at martin.lally@vuw.ac.nz

Dr Martin Lally presented The Impact of Regulation on the Firm's Cost of Capital at the ISCR forum, The Cost of Capital for the Regulated Firm in August 2003

This paper explores the impact on industry betas of changes to the industry weights in the market index against which betas are defined. The exploratory analysis in the paper suggests that the effect can be substantial This phenomenon has implications for the way in which betas are estimated...

This paper compares the revenues resulting from the Officer model, which is generally used by Australian regulatory bodies, the simplified Brennan-Lally model, which is used by the New Zealand regulatory body, the Sharpe-Lintner-Mossin model, which is widely used in other regulatory regimes, and...

Azar (2007) argues that an appropriate market-based estimate of the US real social discount rate is 5.66%, with a 95% confidence interval ranging from 5.62 to 5.71%. However, this line of argument implicitly and wrongly equates the risk on public sector projects with that for the optimal...

This paper examines the appropriate term of the risk free rate to be used by a regulator in price control situations, most particularly in the presence of corporate debt. If the regulator seeks to ensure that the present value of the future cash flows to equity holders equals their initial...

Hall (2007) challenges a fundamental point in the analysis of Lally (2007) and earlier papers: if the risk free rate within the allowed rate of return matches the regulatory term, then the present value of future cash flows PV0 equals equityholders initial investment C(1-L). Hall argues that...

This paper examines two arguments presented in Gray and Hall (2006). First, that the generally used estimate of 0.06 for the market risk premium within the Officer version of the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) and the generally used estimate of 0.50 for the parameter 'gamma' within the...