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between oil tail risks and inflation volatility (variance of consumer prices) in all our sample countries barring Germany. In … consumer prices, indicating that high risk associated with the oil market causes an increase in the volatility of consumer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014354878
This paper examines the asymmetric impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and oil price uncertainty (OPU) on inflation by using a Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model, which is compared to a benchmark linear ARDL one. Using monthly data from the 1990s until August 2022 for a number of developed and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014260984
This paper examines the asymmetric impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and oil price uncertainty (OPU) on inflation by using a Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model, which is compared to a benchmark linear ARDL one. Using monthly data from the 1990s until August 2022 for a number of developed and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013543029
’s inventory model of commodity price dynamics, that stresses the importance of volatility in crude oil markets for short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014206336
This paper investigates the effects of global oil and food price shocks to consumer prices in Middle East-North African (MENA) countries using threshold cointegration methods. Oil and food price shocks increase domestic prices in the long run, whereby the impact of food prices dominates. While...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073247
This paper investigates the effects of global oil and food price shocks to consumer prices in Middle East-North African (MENA) countries using threshold cointegration methods. Oil and food price shocks increase domestic prices in the long run, whereby the impact of food prices dominates. While...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073555
In this paper, we test whether oil price predicts economic growth for 28 developed and 17 developing countries. We use predictability tests that account for the key features of the data, namely, persistency, endogeneity, and heteroskedasticity. Our analysis considers a large number of countries,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048115
This study examines the dynamic effects of the oil price (OP) shocks on the key macroeconomic variables of Pakistan. A structural vector autoregressive model is used on yearly data from 1960 to 2014. The impulse response functions indicate that the OP shocks depress the real gross domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928104
This paper investigates the effects of global oil and food price shocks to consumer prices in Middle East-North African (MENA) countries using threshold cointegration methods. Oil and food price shocks increase domestic prices in the long run, whereby the impact of food prices dominates. While...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010255110
This paper investigates the effects of global oil and food price shocks to consumer prices in Middle East-North African (MENA) countries using threshold cointegration methods. Oil and food price shocks increase domestic prices in the long run, whereby the impact of food prices dominates. While...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010195364