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This paper explores the volatility forecasting implications of a model in which the friction in high-frequency prices is related to the true underlying volatility. The contribution of this paper is to propose a framework under which the realized variance may improve volatility forecasting if the...
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Volatility and Time Series Econometrics: Essays in Honor of Robert F. .Engle Edited by … History of Econometrics at the University of California, San Diego: A Personal Viewpoint 1 … 6 7 Wives 8 8 The Econometrics Research Project …
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Commodity markets present several challenges for quantitative modeling. These include high volatilities, small sample data sets, and physical, operational complexity. In addition, the set of traded products in commodity markets is more limited than in financial or equity markets, making value...
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