This paper examines the time-varying dependence structure of commodity futures portfolios based on multivariate dynamic copula models. The importance of accounting for time-variation is emphasized in the context of the Basel traffic light system. We enhance the exibility of this structure by...

This paper models the correlated shocks across regional housing markets and the spillover effects in time-varying housing price volatilities. We explore two kinds of diffusion channels: geographic closeness and economic similarity. Our empirical investigation is based on the Case-Shiller housing...

How does divided government affect the probability of economic policy change, and thus policy risk on financial markets? In contrast to the standard balancing model we argue that divided government, i.e., partisan conflict between the executive and the legislative branches, negatively affects...