Showing 1 - 10 of 1,216
This paper reports a study on the causal dynamics between spot oil price, exchange rates, and stock prices in Poland, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Romania, and Serbia. The results are compared with a benchmark analysis in which U.S. monthly data are used, and time periods are selected according...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011854772
In this paper, we challenge the traditional assumption of a linear relationship between exchange rate volatility and economic growth in South Africa. By using data collected from 1970 to 2016 applied to a smooth transition regression (STR) model, we are able to prove that the exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011870188
their forecasting performance. Our findings reveal significant heterogeneity in ETM volatility patterns, which challenge …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015190309
forecasting volatility model with the most appropriate error distribution. The results suggest the presence of leverage effect … forecasting model that could guarantee a sound policy decisions. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489480
variancefunctions. In a genuine out-of-sample forecasting experiment theperformance of the best fitted asMA-asQGARCH model is compared … topure asMA and no-change forecasts. This is done both in terms ofconditional mean forecasting as well as in terms of risk … forecasting. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011303289
of point and density forecasting. The relative accuracy is higher when the full distribution is predicted. We also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011774178
On 21 July 2005 China adopted an undisclosed basket exchange rate regime. We formally assess and envisage the gradual evolution of the renminbi over time. We utilize nonlinear dependencies in the renminbi exchange rate and describe the smooth transition of the renminbi/U.S. dollar (RMB/USD)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014222900
This paper examines the conditional time-varying currency betas from five developed markets and four emerging markets. We employ a modified trivariate BEKK-GARCH-in-mean model of Engle and Kroner (1995) to estimate the time-varying conditional variance and covariance of returns of stock index,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050759
On 21 July 2005 China adopted an undisclosed basket exchange rate regime. We formally assess and envisage the gradual evolution of the renminbi over time. We utilize nonlinear dependencies in the renminbi exchange rate and describe the smooth transition of the renminbi/U.S. dollar (RMB/USD)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012753619
A set of multivariate GARCH models is estimated and its empirical validity is compared from the calculation of the Value at Risk. Data used are the daily returns of the nominal exchange rate of the Colombian peso vis-a-vis the American dollar, euro, sterling and Japanese yen for the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014220508