Showing 1 - 10 of 53
-GARCH models, by including past volatility, are particularly useful both in instability and calm periods. Moreover, the asymmetric …, using more efficient models to dynamically quantify volatility. The RiskMetrics approach was parallelly used as a way to … estimates of the EGARCH models had fewer violations of VaR, the estimates of the three models used for volatility were more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010823163
This paper examines the impact of natural disasters on the Australian equity market. The data set employed consists of daily price and accumulation returns over the period 31 December 1982 to 1 January 2002 for the All Ordinaries Index (AOI) and a record of forty-two severe storms, floods,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005181681
This paper examines the predictability memory of fractionally integrated ARMA processes. Very long memory is found for positively fractionally integrated processes with large positive AR parameters. However, negative AR parameters absorb, to a great extent, the memory generated by a positive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005190887
of their dependent and volatile innovations. The volatility function of the ARMA innovations is shown to be the square of … the corresponding GARCH volatility function. The prediction of GARCH squares is facilitated by the ARMA structure and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009294824
market uncertainty and volatility of the investment instruments. Thus, the prediction of the uncertainty and volatilities of … to identify the best fit model that can predict the volatility of return of Bitcoin, which is in high demand as an … the residuals of the average equation model selected have ARCH effect. Volatility of Bitcoin return series after detection …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014382180
overstating volatility persistence (𝛽). Our empirical application to Bitcoin and Ethereum enhances these insights: we find …Financial assets often exhibit explosive price surges followed by abrupt collapses, alongside persistent volatility … explains time-varying volatility. We propose two estimation approaches: (i) Whittle-based frequency-domain methods, which are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015437136
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012504824
In models that have a representation of the form       ) , ( x g y the Wald test for ˆBeta has systematically wrong size in finite samples when the indentifying parameter Gamma is small relative to its estimation error. An alternative test based on linearization of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294011
We consider maximum likelihood estimation of a particular noninvertible ARMA model with autoregressive conditionally heteroskedastic (ARCH) errors. The model can be seen as an extension to so-called all-pass models in that it allows for autocorrelation and for more fl exible forms of conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500222
The measurement error problem in linear time series regression, with focus on the impact of error memory, modeled as nite-order MA processes, is considered. Three prototype models, two bivariate and one univariate ARMA, and ways of handling the problem by using instrumental variables (IVs) are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011335598