Of late, both U.S. and International firms have increased the granting of performance-contingent equity awards to their executive officers. Beyond simple stock options, these awards frequently include accounting-based performance targets. Failure to meet or exceed these targets causes award...

In this paper, we discuss a framework for approaching the problem of how best to estimate stock price given a set of accounting information. We apply the theory of inverse probability to formulate price predictions based on an estimate of the mean of the posterior distribution for price, given...