The volume gives an overview of money demand analysis in Europe in the eve of the introduction of the Euro in some European countries. It contributes to the discussion on a suitable monetary policy for the new European Central Bank. The alternative strategies under discussion are a direct...

1. Prologue -- 1.1 Objective of the Study -- 1.2 Survey of the Study -- 2. Vector Stochastic Processes -- 2.1 Discrete-Time, Stationary Vector Stochastic Processes -- 2.2 Nonstationary Processes -- 2.3 Vector Autoregressive Moving Average Processes -- 2.4 Estimation -- 2.5 Model Specification --...

Despite the fact that many aggregates are nonlinear functions and the aggregation weights of many macroeconomic aggregates are time-varying, much of the literature on forecasting aggregates considers the case of linear aggregates with fixed, time-invariant aggregation weights. In this study a...

Despite the fact that many aggregates are nonlinear functions and the aggregation weights of many macroeconomic aggregates are time-varying, much of the literature on forecasting aggregates considers the case of linear aggregates with fixed, time-invariant aggregation weights. In this study a...

It is investigated whether Euro-area variables can be forecast better based on synthetic time series for the pre-Euro period or by using just data from Germany for the pre-Euro period. Our forecast comparison is based on quarterly data for the period 1970Q1 - 2003Q4 for ten macroeconomic...