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The paper documents and illustrates state space methods that implement time series disaggregation by regression methods, with dynamics that depend on a single autoregressive parameter. The most popular techniques for the distribution of economic flow variables, such as Chow-Lin, Fern´andez and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015316567
The paper discusses the main issues arising in the construction of quarterly national accounts estimates, adjusted for seasonality and calendar effects, obtained by disaggregating the original annual actual measurements using related monthly indicators. It proposes and implements an approach...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015316578
The paper documents and illustrates state space methods that implement time series disaggregation by regression methods, with dynamics that depend on a single autoregressive parameter. The most popular techniques for the distribution of economic flow variables, such as Chow-Lin, Fernandez and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015317356
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003390157
The paper deals with the estimation of monthly indicators of economic activity for the Euro area and its largest member countries that possess the following attributes: relevance, representativeness and timeliness. Relevance is obtained by referring our monthly indicators to gross domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010402282
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474534
Government statistical agencies are required to seasonally adjust non-stationary time series resulting from an aggregate of a number of cross-sectional time series. Traditionally, this has been achieved using the X-11 or X12-ARIMA process by us- ing either direct or indirect seasonal adjustment....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015315611
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015316560
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015316561
Both temporal disaggregation techniques and bridge models are tools to analyse the GDP dynamics in the very short run (the current quarter), though their methodological approaches differ on how to exploit the available monthly information. The aim of this paper is to propose a way to merge the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015316566