The prominent role of monetary policy in the U.S. interwardepression has been conventional wisdom since Friedman andSchwartz [1963]. This paper presents evidence on both thesurprise and the systematic components of monetary policybetween 1929 and 1933. Doubts surrounding GDP estimates forthe...

This paper examines the comovement of the stock market and of real activity in Germany before World War I under the efficient market hypothesis. We employ multivariate spectral analysis to compare rivaling national product estimates to stock market behavior in the frequency domain. Close...

This paper examines the comovement of the stock market and of real activity in Germany before World War I under the efficient market hypothesis. We employ multivariate spectral analysis to compare rivaling national product estimates to stock market behavior in the frequency domain. Close...