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The Global Financial Crisis (GFC) changes the relative economic riskiness and risk-adjusted-performance of different asset markets. While the empirical distribution for stock return shifted to the right and became more concentrated around the mean after the GFC, the real estate market...
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The breakdown of stock indices is an obvious part of the financial market cycle. A common question about a bear market is the time and the depth of the downtrend, as well as the speed of the following recovery. As the COVID-19 pandemic spread globally, it induced huge price drops in a very short...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012745415
In this paper we develop a comprehensive Vector Autoregression Model consisting of five variables; the stock market and price indices of pairs of countries, as well as their bilateral nominal exchange rate. Then, we show that under certain long-run restrictions, our approach encompasses a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012171036
A fundamental index weighs stocks proportionally to fundamentals such as book value, dividends, or sales. We …-adjustment approaches to ensure that return differences are not driven by risk. Based on stocks in the DJ Stoxx 600 index from July 1993 to …
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macroeconomic indicators including gold and oil prices, the volatility index, economic policy uncertainty, the financial stress … index, geopolitical risk, and shadow short rate, with ten technical indicators. We propose three hybrid deep learning models … analysis using the Shapley method identifies the volatility index, financial stress index, and economic policy uncertainty as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015207282
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S&P 500 index and the detection of End-of-Bubble signals with their corresponding confidence levels. We use monthly S …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011514490