Showing 1 - 10 of 29
The paper considers an agent who must choose an action today under uncertainty about the consequence of any chosen action but without having in mind a complete list of all the contingencies that could influence outcomes. She conceives of some relevant (subjective) contingencies but she is aware...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005405554
Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of Rochester. Dept. of Economics, 2008.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009482971
The de Finetti Theorem is a cornerstone of the Bayesian approach. Bernardo (1996) writes that its "message is very clear: if a sequence of observations is judged to be exchangeable, then any subset of them must be regarded as a random sample from some model, and there exists a prior distribution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011599431
The de Finetti Theorem on exchangeable predictive priors is generalized to a framework where preference is represented by Choquet expected utility with respect to a belief function (a special capacity). The resulting model provides behavioral foundations for the decision-maker's subjective...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011263610
This paper formulates a model of utility for a continuous time framework that captures the decision-maker’s concern with ambiguity about both the drift and volatility of the driving process. At a technical level, the analysis requires a significant departure from existing continuous time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010875293
The paper outlines an exchangeable non-Bayesian model of preference generalizing the Savage/de Finetti classic model of subjective expected utility preference with an exchangeable prior. The treatment is informal, and the emphasis is on motivation and potential applications rather than on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010875377
Debreu proposed the notion of `least concave utility' as a way to disentangle risk attitudes from the certainty preferences embedded in a von-Neumann Morgenstern index. This paper studies preferences under uncertainty, as opposed to risk, and examines a corresponding decomposition of preference....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005178754
The de Finetti Theorem is a cornerstone of the Bayesian approach. Bernardo (1996) writes that its "message is very clear: if a sequence of observations is judged to be exchangeable, then any subset of them must be regarded as a random sample from some model, and there exists a prior distribution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008599642
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010465760
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010478634