This paper discusses the expectation formation process of Japanese stock market professionals and how their expectations are related to larger fluctuations of the TOPIX price than those of economic fundamentals. By utilizing a monthly forecast survey dataset on the TOPIX distributed by QUICK...

We examine whether Japanese households have begun to dissave and reduce their holdings of risky assets because of population aging over the period 2000–14. While there is little doubt that household savings have decreased, the true trend without a negative income shock in the early 2000s would...