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A large and rapidly growing literature examines the impact of misvaluation on firm policies by using mutual fund outflow-induced price pressure to isolate non-fundamental price variation. I demonstrate that the standard approach to computing outflow-induced price pressure produces a measure that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851373
We establish a link between firms managing investors' performance expectations, earnings announcement premia, and cyclical patterns (i.e., seasonalities) in returns. Firms that are more likely to manage expectations toward beatable levels predictably earn lower returns before, and higher returns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902681
Prior studies show that investor learning about earnings-based return predictors from academic research erodes return predictability. However, the signaling power of “bottom-line” earnings has declined over time, which complicates assessments of investor learning about profitability signals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891102
We explore the possibility that overnight returns can serve as a measure of firm-specific investor sentiment by analyzing whether they exhibit characteristics expected of a sentiment measure. First, we document short-term persistence in overnight returns, consistent with existing evidence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856362
Recent research shows that a high wage gap between managers and workers identifies better-performing firms, but the stock market does not seem to price this information. In this paper, we show that not all investors neglect pay inequality. Using a unique data set on German firms' employee...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898577
This paper documents that the payoffs from investing in growth stocks, as measured by the decile-rank distributions (DRD) of future revenues, earnings, investment, as well as stock returns, follow a bimodal U-shaped distribution. By contrast, the DRD of value stocks follow a traditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014238639
This paper studies the effect of investor sentiment on stock returns in three Central European markets: the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland. The results show that sentiment is a key variable in the prices of stocks traded on these markets and its impact is stronger here than in more developed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014756
Using short sell transactions data from 2010 to 2016, this paper is the first to provide a comprehensive sample of short selling initiated by retail investors. We find that retail short selling can predict negative stock returns. A trading strategy that mimics weekly retail shorting earns an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013250680
We present empirical evidence that collective investor behavior can be inferred from large-scale Wikipedia search data for individual-level stocks. Using Shannon transfer entropy, a model-free measure that considers any kind of statistical dependence between time series, we investigate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914049
We investigate the role of mutual fund flows in incorporating market sentiment into asset prices. We show that retail investors adjust their investments among mutual fund categories in response to changes in market sentiment. Consistent with sentiment-induced price pressure through fund flows,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903687