We show that the pattern of positive pre-announcement market drift is present not only for FOMC announcements, as documented by Lucca and Moench (2015), but also for other major macroeconomic announcements such as Nonfarm Payroll, ISM and GDP. This commonality in pre-announcement returns leads...

We show that the pattern of positive pre-announcement market drift is present not only for FOMC announcements, as documented by Lucca and Moench (2015), but also for other major macroeconomic announcements such as Nonfarm Payroll, ISM and GDP. This commonality in pre-announcement returns leads...

The substantial stock market return prior to FOMC announcements without major increase in conventional measures of risk, as documented by Lucca and Moench (2015), presents a "puzzle" to the simple notion of risk-return trade off. We hypothesize that the arrival of macroeconomic news, with FOMC...

Opinions by experts and media pundits that are widely disseminated in various media forms (both traditional outlets and online venues) constitute a major source of influence on investors. While a published view could be more accurate than the view of a typical investor, its influence displaces...