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We propose using a permutation test to detect discontinuities in an underlying economic model at a known cutoff point. Relative to the existing literature, we show that this test is well suited for event studies based on time‐series data. The test statistic measures the distance between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014306351
This work quantifies the financial and macroeconomic effects of the most significant Brexit events from 23 June 2016 up to 31 December 2019 for fifteen economies. The study uses high-frequency data and shows that following the referendum outcome, overall the 10-year government bond yield of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013289046
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001644279
This paper examines reactions in the Ukrainian stock market to force majeure events, which are divided into four groups: economic force majeure, social force majeure and terrorist acts, natural and technological disasters. More specifically, using daily data for the main Ukrainian stock market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889671
This paper builds a model of high-frequency equity returns by separately modeling the dynamics of trade-time returns and trade arrivals. Our main contributions are threefold. First, we characterize the distributional behavior of high-frequency asset returns both in ordinary clock time and in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010392091
We study the impact of news embedded in scheduled macroeconomic announcements on the government bond market in Poland and the Czech Republic. We conduct an event study on intraday data and time-series regressions using daily data over an eight-year period, distinguishing between effects under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010529892
This paper examines the effect of foreign exchange news announcements on the volatility of stock returns in Nigeria, using the daily closing All-Share Index from The Nigerian Stock Exchange from 2000 to 2015. We extended existing literature by augmenting the EGARCH econometric model with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011843827
This paper examines the hypothesis that both stock returns and volatility are asymmetric functions of past information derived from domestic and U.S. stock-market news. The results show the presence of negative autocorrelation, which is consistent with the dominance of positive-feedback trading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004440
We examine returns of several US equity ETFs on the days of 18 major macroeconomic announcements for the period of January 2009 – July 2013. The ARMA GARCH model with external regression terms that describe announcement events and their surprises is used. We find that ISM Manufacturing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034613
Impact of major macroeconomic announcements on the daily trading volumes of several US ETFs is examined for the period of January 2004-April 2014. An ARIMA model with external factors that describe the announcement events is used. It is found that several macroeconomic announcements,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024960