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We propose a theoretical framework to reconcile episodes of V-shaped and L-shaped recovery, encompassing the behaviour of the U.S. economy before and after the Great Recession. In a DSGE model with endogenous growth, negative demand shocks destroy productive capacity, moving GDP to a lower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533939
for the debate between the structural or hysteresis hypotheses. We develop a procedure that permits us to test for the … the 0/1 paradigm about the order of integration, usually implemented for testing the hypothesis of hysteresis in … occupational unemployment. In almost all occupations, we find support for both the structuralist and the hysteresis hypotheses, but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010268561
Konjunkturzyklus. Es zeigt sich, dass der jahrzehntelange Aufwärtstrend der Arbeitslosigkeit in Deutschland vollständig durch Hysterese … erklärt werden kann. Dagegen folgte die Arbeitslosigkeit in den USA keinem Hysterese-Muster, auch nicht während der großen … Rezession. Deutschland überstand diese Rezession so gut, weil sowohl Hysterese als auch strukturelle Arbeitslosigkeit durch …
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hysteresis effect - is quite popular among economists. However, because of an identification problem, much of the empirical … is argued that in a cointegration framework it is reasonable to define hysteresis as the absence of weak exogeneity of … evidence for hysteresis. …
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In this paper we have examined the unemployment rate series in Turkey by using long memory models and in particular employing fractionally integrated techniques. Our results suggest that unemployment in Turkey is highly persistent, with orders of integration equal to or higher than 1 in most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012119645