This paper presents a new facet of the regional forecasts of the Institute for Employment Research (IAB). For the development in 2022, we report results at the level of administrative district types of the Federal Institute for Research on Building, Urban Affairs and Spatial Development (BBSR)....

Im Spätsommer 2022 ist die Weltwirtschaft im Abschwung. Anhaltend hohe Inflationsraten haben die US-Notenbank und viele weitere Zentralbanken veranlasst, mit einer Straffung ihrer Geldpolitik zu beginnen. Zudem ist seit dem Ausbruch des Ukraine-Kriegs Energie knapper und teurer geworden....

The COVID-19 pandemic and the Ukraine war mark a turning point for the German labour market. These crises accelerate transformative forces that have been at work for some time, such as digitalisation and decarbonisation, and are likely to permanently change the international division of labour...

Increasing labour shortages are mainly due to demographic developments - specifically the baby boom in Germany, with a strong peak in the early 1960s. Despite strong immigration in recent years, the ratio of 20-24 year-olds to 60-64 year-olds was only 75 to 100 in 2021, and if younger cohorts...

With 1.9 million vacancies available to 2.3 million registered unemployed persons, parity in the German labour market has almost been achieved. Such parity however may produce labour shortages that go far beyond small bottlenecks, which are limited to particular regions and industries. In the...

Der deutschen Wirtschaft steht ein schwaches Winterhalbjahr bevor. Die hohen Energiepreise belasten die Kaufkraft der privaten Haushalte und dämpfen den privaten Konsum. Das welt- wirtschaftliche Umfeld ist schwach und liefert keine positiven Impulse für die Konjunktur. Seit dem Herbst haben...