This paper analyzes the usefulness of the forward-looking information disclosed in the annual report based on the 2011-2016 financial report of listed companies. We construct a new forward-looking information disclosure index based on the forward-looking information in the annual report...

This paper investigates the effects of managerial myopia on investment behaviors in China. We construct a new indicator to measure managerial myopia by text analysis and machine learning methods based on the management discussion and analysis (MD&A) in A-share listed company's annual reports...

We compared the predictive performance of a series of machine learning and traditional methods for monthly CDS spreads, using firms' accounting-based, market-based and macroeconomics variables for a time period of 2006 to 2016. We find that ensemble machine learning methods (Bagging, Gradient...

An essential element of the work of the Fund is to monitor and forecast international trade. This paper uses SWIFT messages on letters of credit, together with crude oil prices and new export orders of manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), to improve the short-term forecast of...

We compared the predictive performance of a series of machine learning and traditional methods for monthly CDS spreads, using firms' accounting-based, market-based and macroeconomics variables for a time period of 2006 to 2016. We find that ensemble machine learning methods (Bagging, Gradient...