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This dissertation consists of two essays on predictability of asset prices. "Benchmarking problems and long horizon …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009451119
, constant gain learning may sometimes contribute towards explaining the stock price volatility and the predictability of excess …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005537401
predictability can be explained by time-variation in economic risk premiums. Instead of testing a traditional beta pricing model, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005427449
Empirical studies demonstrated that US baby boomers consumption and savings patterns have affected economic aggregates over the past decades, among them equity returns. Boomers’ retirement is expected to mitigate the demand for equities until 2050, but its impact varies with the specific...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011117741
We investigate the behavior of the equilibrium price-rent ratio for housing in a simple Lucas-type asset pricing model. We allow for time-varying risk aversion (via external habit formation) and time-varying persistence and volatility in the stochastic process for rent growth, consistent with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010787784
contribute towards explaining the stock price and return volatility as well as the predictability of excess returns in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005069685
According to standard theory, wealth should have no intrinsic value. Yet, conventional wisdom, recent theories, and data suggest it might. We verify whether or not households have direct preferences over wealth in selecting assets. The fully structural econometric model focuses on a multivariate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005771793
gain learning may contribute towards explaining the stock price and return volatility as well as the predictability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789201
This paper advocates a theory of expectation formation that incorporates many of the central motivations of behavioral finance theory while retaining much of the discipline of the rational expectations approach. We provide a framework in which agents, in an asset pricing model, underparameterize...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005051490
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014225791