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Using belief elicitation, the paper investigates the formation and the evolution of beliefs in a signalling game in … which a common prior on Sender's type is not induced. Beliefs are elicited about the type of the Sender and about the … strategies of the players. The experimental subjects often start with diffuse uniform beliefs and update them in view of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009535526
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011942509
to disagree forever. Although the learning process converges, leading to common knowledge of the individual decisions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014484275
strategy relative to more traditional learning dynamics, and establish that, paradoxically, when sellers are strategic, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012065183
This paper experimentally investigates social learning in a two-agent prediction game with both exogenous and …. We find that more efficient observational learning leads to more accurate predictions in the endogenous treatments and … strength. Simultaneous decisions in endogenous ordering avoid observational learning and compensate the higher degree of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009779323
not know about the information acquisition) or public (the opponent knows about the information acquisition) learning. We … show that a situation, when one player learns the type of the opponent privately while the opponent abstains from learning … cannot be an equilibrium. Yet, there exists an equilibrium, when one player engages in public learning and the other refrains …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014215268
We examine whether and how democratic procedures can achieve socially desirable public good provision in the presence of profound uncertainty about the benefits of public goods, i.e., when citizens are able to identify the distribution of benefits only if they aggregate their private...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011444451
-updated beliefs instead of their priors. Our proposed mistake predicts when individuals over- or underreact to new information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011756731
We propose that multinational firms learn about their profitability in a particular market by observing their performance in nearby markets. We first develop a model of firm expectations formation with noisy signals from multiple markets and derive predictions on expectations formation and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012258595
We study experimentally the effectiveness of communication in common value committees exhibiting publicly known heterogeneous biases. We test models assuming respectively self-interested and strategic-, joint payoff-maximizing- and cognitively heterogeneous agents. These predict varying degrees...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011444227