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I employ a unique NFL gambling dataset to disentangle information asymmetry between bettors and sportsbooks. In contrast to expectations, I find no evidence that sportsbooks hold more information than the bettors. In fact, the results show that in instances where sportsbooks behave as if they...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239733
This paper finds that the majority of stock price movements remain unexplained after controlling for both public and private information. This suggests that economists' inability to explain asset price movements is the result of either noise or naive asset pricing models.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011566279
The weekly release of the U.S. inventory level by the DOE-EIA is known as the market mover in the U.S. oil futures market and to be a significant piece of information for all world oil markets in which the WTI is a price benchmark. We uncover suspicious trading patterns in the WTI futures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012967372
The weekly release of the U.S. inventory level by the DOE-EIA is known as the market mover in the U.S. oil futures market and to be a significant piece of information for all world oil markets in which the WTI is a price benchmark. We uncover suspicious trading patterns in the WTI futures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014124137
We study information acquisition in dealer markets. We first identify a one-sided strategic complementarity in information acquisition: the more informed traders are, the larger market makers' gain from becoming informed. When quotes are observable, this effect in turn induces a strategic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854920
We propose the Volume Coefficient of Variation (VCV), the ratio of the standard deviation to the mean of trading volume, as a new and easily computable measure of information asymmetry in security markets. We use a simple microstructure model to demonstrate that VCV is strictly increasing in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929586
In this paper, we analyze the conflicts of interest of an informed agent who is responsible for divulging his private information about a company and has a reward function positively dependent on its stock price. We assume that the demand for the stock is subject to shocks that may increase...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011536
We propose a new approach to measuring informed trading in individual securities based on a portfolio optimization model for investors facing information and liquidity shocks. These shocks induce speculative and liquidity-motivated order flow, taking into account the price impact of trading. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013000039
In this study, insider trading activity is used as part of a managerial compensation structure. The wage structure changes with the tenure duration of the insider. Managers with shorter tenure rely more on insider profits as part of their compensation. On the other hand, managers with longer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013001353
This note provides the details of the estimation procedure in Br¨unner (2019). In Section 2 we derive the posterior distribution. Section 3 describes the MCMC algorithm used to obtain draws from the posterior distribution and in Section 4 we present the method for our model check. We conclude...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012507949