This paper demonstrates that executive compensation convexity, measured as the sensitivity of managerial equity compensation portfolios to stock volatility, predicts firm-specific crashes. A bottom-to-top decile change in compensation convexity results in a 21% increase in a firm's crash risk...

This paper studies the effects of predictability on the earnings-returns relation for individual firms and for the aggregate. We demonstrate that prices better anticipate earnings growth at the aggregate level than at the firm level, which implies that random-walk models are inappropriate for...

Motivated by the literature on investment flows and optimal trading, we examine intraday predictability in the cross-section of stock returns. We find a striking pattern of return continuation at half-hour intervals that are exact multiples of a trading day, and this effect lasts for at least 40...

This paper demonstrates that the cross-sectional variation of systematic risk and systematic liquidity have increased over the period 1963-2008. Both have increased signi ficantly for large-cap firms, but declined signifi cantly for small-cap fi rms. Several implications for investment managers...

This paper studies the pricing of commonly used systematic risk factors across investment horizons of up to five years. In a classical one-period asset-pricing model, high expected returns are achieved only by accepting high levels of systematic risk. However, allowing for heterogeneous...