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We estimate an ex ante probability of extreme negative returns (crashes) of individual stocks as a measure of potential overpricing and find that stocks with a high probability of crashes earn abnormally low returns. Stocks with high crash probability are overpriced regardless of the level of...
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Duarte and Young (2009) decompose PIN into adjusted PIN (AdjPIN) and probability of trading caused by symmetric order flow shocks (PSOS). We explore sources of PSOS in the Korean stock market and examine the relation between PSOS and stock returns. Using transaction data with trader types and...
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