This paper assesses the quantitative impact of ambiguity on historically observed financial asset returns and growth rates. The single agent, in a dynamic exchange economy, treats the conditional uncertainty about the consumption and dividends next period as ambiguous. We calibrate the agent's...

Abstract Using recently proposed estimators of the variation of positive and negative returns (“realized semivariances”), and high frequency data for the S&P 500 index and 105 individual stocks, this paper sheds new light on the predictability of equity price volatility. We show that future...

This paper assessed the quantitative impact of ambiguity on historically observed financial asset returns and growth rates. The single agent, in a dynamic exchange economy, treats the conditional uncertainty about the consumption and dividends next period as ambiguous. We calibrate the agent's...