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are (1) the model can generate a high and volatile equity premium while a low and smooth risk-free rate, (2) agents … volatility clusterng and persistence; and (3) Bayesian learning itself is unable to generate a significant and positive risk …
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This paper examines if overreaction of oil price forecasters is related to uncertainty. Furthermore, it takes into account impacts from oil price return and oil price volatility on forecast changes. The panel smooth transition regression model from González et al. (2005) is applied with...
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the consumption-based specification of the risk premium. The relevance of Knightian uncertainty is inconsistent with all … REH models, regardless of how they specify the market's risk premium. The authors' evidence is also inconsistent with …
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