This paper finds that the majority of stock price movements remain unexplained after controlling for both public and private information. This suggests that economists' inability to explain asset price movements is the result of either noise or naive asset pricing models.

Although it has been well established that financial volatility is related to news and macroeconomic shocks, there has been less emphasis on the importance of underlying economic and political stability. In this paper we study the behavior of consol returns since 1729 and identify a...

Individual environmental variables may contain information obscured in aggregate environmental scores for return forecasting. We apply machine learning methods to granular environmental variables and find that a long-short portfolio that longs stocks with high forecasted returns and sells stocks...

Individual environmental variables may contain information that is obscured in aggregate environmental scores when forecasting future stock returns. We apply machinelearning methods to granular environmental variables and show that a long-short portfolio that longs stocks with high forecasted...

Although it has been well established that financial volatility is related to news and macroeconomic shocks, there has been less emphasis on the importance of underlying economic and political stability. In this paper we study the behavior of consol returns since 1729 and identify a...