In times when short-term policy rates are at or near the zero lower bound, central banks use unconventional policies such as forward guidance and quantitative easing to influence the slope of the yield curve. In this paper, we analyze the dynamic responses of key U.S. macroeconomic variables to...

Randomness and regularities in finance are usually treated in probabilistic terms. In this paper, we develop a different approach in using a non-probabilistic framework based on the algorithmic information theory initially developed by Kolmogorov (1965). We develop a generic method to estimate...