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We develop a growth model with credit-fueled speculative asset bubbles. In our model, financial intermediaries (banks) use borrowed money to speculate on a risky asset bubble, which promises high returns as long as the bubble does not collapse. However, with limited liability, banks can default...
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We explore the dynamic effects of news about a future technology improvement which turns out ex post to be overoptimistic. We find that it is difficult to generate a boom-bust cycle (a period in which stock prices, consumption, investment and employment all rise and then crash) in response to...
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Historical data and model simulations support the following conclusion. Inflation is low during stock market booms, so that an interest rate rule that is too narrowly focused on inflation destabilizes asset markets and the broader economy. Adjustments to the interest rate rule can remove this...
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