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estimate a novel risk-neutral quantile-based asymmetry measure (RNA) from S&P 500 index options. In contrast to existing risk … one to twelve weeks. Our findings suggest that ex-ante systematic asymmetry does matter when predicting excess market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236004
:01–2020:08 were employed. The study found evidence of volatility persistence, asymmetry, mean reversion and weak evidence of a risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012872753
regression models, 2010) as well as the cointegration tests developed in Arai and Kurozumi (Testing for the null hypothesis of … cointegration with a structural break, 2007) and Kejriwal (Cointegration with structural breaks: an application to the Feldstein …- Horioka Puzzle, 2008). The results obtained are consistent with the existence of linear cointegration between the log stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011745419
output gap shows evidence of cointegration in the DJIA and S&P 500 index data. Nonetheless, a sup augmented Dickey …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011555939
Beaudry and Portier (2006) provide support for the "news view" of the business cycle, using a vector error correction model. We show that this result hinges on a cointegrating relationship between TFP and stock prices that is not stationary, thus making the estimates not reliable. If we alter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181050
cointegration to estimate the long-run relationship between G7 stock prices and macroeconomic variables over the last 40 years. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013179569
to cointegration. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274154
A large part of the current debate on US stock price behavior concentrates on the question of whether stock prices are driven by fundamentals or by non-fundamental factors. In this paper we put forward the hypothesis that a present value model with time-varying expected returns provides an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010301738
these variables. This means that the conventional cointegration tests may not be robust. Using a more appropriate periodic … cointegration test, our results nevertheless fail to support the present value model, thus reinforcing the case against the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014043638
In the empirical literature, only few studies have focused on the relationship between oil prices and stock markets in net oil-importing countries. In net oil-exporting countries this relationship has not been widely researched. This paper implements the panel-data approach of Kónya (2006),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014202715