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We find that periods of elevated EPU are associated with higher analyst disagreement, a decrease in forecast accuracy, and a higher degree of conservatism. We show that the decrease in forecast accuracy can be partially attributed to limited attention. A higher level of EPU attracts analysts’...
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This paper empirically estimates a heterogeneous agents model using S&P 500 data. While previous studies on heterogeneous agents models typically resort to simulation techniques, our empirical results indicate that the market is populated with fundamentalists, chartists, and noise traders. In...
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In this paper we combine the heterogeneous agent literature with the market microstructure literature in order to introduce time varying measures of price discovery based on underlying profit maximizing behavior. We set up a heterogeneous agent model with arbitrageurs and chartists, and allow...
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This paper studies the impact of expected issuance fees on market liquidity in the Euro-area government bond market. Investment banks have a dual role as primary dealer in the secondary market as well as competitor for lead manager in the primary market. Primary dealers have the incentive to...
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We study the effect of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on sell-side analysts' forecasts, and how it interact with the stock-market response to a firm's earnings news. We find that analysts tend to disagree more when faced with higher levels of EPU, and that their forecasts tend to be less...
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