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While there is a large body of literature on oil uncertainty-equity prices and/or returns nexus, an associated important question of how oil market uncertainty affects stock market bubbles remains unanswered. In this paper, we first use the Multi-Scale Log-Periodic Power Law Singularity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015210403
vary according to whether they are in low or high volatility regimes. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011479769
This paper examines long memory volatility in the cross-section of stock returns. We show that long memory volatility … capitalization, book-to-market ratio, prior performance and price jumps. Long memory volatility is negatively priced in the cross …-section. Buying stocks with shorter memory and selling stocks with longer memory in volatility generates significant excess returns of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011750708
assets because they are updated more rapidly in response to news. This paper explores persistence in high-frequency data (and … trade records) using R/S analysis and the Hurst exponent as a measure of persistence. The results show that persistence is … intraday ones are anti-persistent. In addition, persistence varies over time. These findings imply that the Efficient Market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015394356
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013257740
We study the predictability of stock returns using an iterative model-building approach known as quantile boosting. Examining alternative return quantiles that represent normal, bull and bear markets via recursive quantile regressions, we trace the predictive value of extensively studied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981179
We analyze the price effects of steel commodities on stock market returns in emerging and developed economies. These commodities have recently attained increased media exposure due to the rise in the U.S. steel import tariffs, which pose the threat of reducing global demand for steel products...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012922669
The convergence of global economy makes all countries and all markets sensible to the happenings in other countries (the contagious effect). The 2008 global financial crisis that had its origin from USA was alleged to have had varying degree of impacts on different capital markets in various...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011473699
The research investigated the impact of macroeconomic variables on the volatility of the commodity futures market in … daily price volatility is studied in the research employed by the GARCH-MIDAS model. This model simplifies the series of … volatility into long- and short-run modules, which allow for the testing of the macroeconomic variables can control the long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012631342
We investigate intraday seasonality in, and relationships between, informational efficiency, volatility, volume and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012949601