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We estimate a general microstructure model of the transitory and permanent impact of order flow on stock prices. Jumps are detected in both the transaction price (observation equation) and fundamental value (state equation). The model's parameters and variances are updated in real time. Prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010256970
This paper estimates a bivariate HEAVY system including daily and intra-daily volatility equations and its macro …-augmented asymmetric power extension. It focuses on economic factors that exacerbate stock market volatility and represent major threats to … commodity markets on stock market realized volatility. Specifically, Economic Policy Uncertainty is shown to be one of the main …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012158736
We introduce a statistical test for simultaneous jumps in the price of a financial asset and its volatility process … volatility jumps, we design and analyze a nonparametric spectral estimator of the spot volatility process. A simulation study and … important role played by price volatility co-jumps. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010384595
In this paper, we show that large inflows into commodity investments, a recent phenomenon known as financialization, has changed the behavior and dependence structure between commodities and the general stock market. The common perception is that the increase in comovements is the result of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010410769
Intraday high-frequency data of stock returns exhibit not only typical characteristics (e.g., volatility clustering and … the leverage effect) but also a cyclical pattern of return volatility that is known as intraday seasonality. In this paper …, we extend the stochastic volatility (SV) model for application with such intraday high-frequency data and develop an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012520275
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estimation methods commonly used to estimate the SCD model in the literature, we work with the original specification of the … that our proposed model and corresponding estimation methodology perform quite well. We also apply an auxiliary particle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035789
self-excited. A novel Markov-Chain Monte Carlo method (MCMC) is developed for parameter estimation of the model. For model … the proposed TSCD model and MCMC method work well in terms of parameter estimation and duration forecasting. Lastly, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022077