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The implied cost of capital (ICC), the internal rate of return that equates speculative stock price to discounted expected future dividends, includes a mispricing-driven component in addition to expected return. The estimated relation of a mispricing-associated factor (X) with ICC is thus a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839261
This paper examines the effect of income smoothing on information uncertainty, stock returns, and cost of equity. I show that income smoothing through both total accruals and discretionary accruals tends to reduce firms' information uncertainty, as measured by stock return volatility, analyst...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938674
Because stock price generally deviates from the intrinsic value, stock price is a noisy indicator of the intrinsic value. As an expected return proxy, the implied cost of capital (ICC)—the internal rate of return that equates the noisy stock price to discounted expected future dividends—thus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014361606
We provide the first large-scale study of the performance of expected-return proxies (ERPs) internationally. Analyst-forecast-based ICCs are sparsely populated and not robustly associated with future returns. Earnings-model-forecast-based ICCs are well-populated, but are unreliable outside the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011931329
The paper describes the specification, estimation, and testing of an unrestricted structural econometric model design … estimated using the MIDAS (Mixed Data Sampling) regression methodology, which supports estimation of regressions with variables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014112120
Estimates of the expected return on equities are of central importance for capital budgeting purposes, actuarial calculations (expected wealth) and, in countries with regulated utilities, for setting the allowed rate of return. The starting point for any of these purposes is the simple annual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014353044
We examine the relationship between stock extreme illiquidity and the implied cost of capital for firms from 45 countries. We document robust evidence that firms whose stocks have a greater potential for extreme illiquidity realizations suffer from higher cost of capital. A one standard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012922232
We reexamine the time-series properties and determinants of the relation between aggregate earnings and returns (earnings response coefficient, ERC) employing return decompositions with longer historical data. We find that aggregate ERC is time-varying, above and beyond the evidence documented...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109120
Motivated by investor disagreement and corporate disclosure literatures, we examine how stock price shocks affect future stock returns. We find that both large short-term price drops and hikes are followed by negative abnormal returns over the subsequent year, consistent with the conjecture that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013009192
The results of academic and practitioners' event studies are often translated from excess log returns into excess dollar returns. The prior literature argues for a difference between the statistical significance of excess log returns and that of excess dollar returns. In contrast, we show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056336