We compared performance of past ‘winners' and past ‘losers' over the look-ahead period of one month for various portfolios that consist of the US ETFs and the holdings of the US equity Select Sector SPDRs in 2007 – 2017 and 2011 - 2017. Namely, we verified the conventional pattern...

We examine returns of several US equity ETFs on the days of 18 major macroeconomic announcements for the period of January 2009 – July 2013. The ARMA GARCH model with external regression terms that describe announcement events and their surprises is used. We find that ISM Manufacturing...

Impact of major macroeconomic announcements on the daily trading volumes of several US ETFs is examined for the period of January 2004-April 2014. An ARIMA model with external factors that describe the announcement events is used. It is found that several macroeconomic announcements,...

It is assumed in the news-based model (NBM) that stock prices are determined with macroeconomic news (modeled with the total market return in the spirit of CAPM), industry news (modeled with the relevant industry ETF returns), and the company-specific news and momentum that are described using...

A news-based model (NBM) in which stock prices are determined by three types of news is proposed. The first type is non-diversifiable macroeconomic and geopolitical news. Their impact on prices is accounted using the total market return in the spirit of the CAPM. The second type is the equity...

A regression model for analysis of impact of earnings announcements on stock prices has been formulated. An equal-weight portfolio of 29 stocks that constituted DJI in Oct 2019 is considered within the range Jan 1999 – Sep 2019. It is found that out-performance around the earnings...

A news-based model (NBM) in which stock prices are determined by three types of news is proposed. First, it is non-diversifiable macroeconomic and geopolitical news. Their impact on prices is accounted using total market return in the spirit of the CAPM. Second, it is the equity sector/industry...