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Generating one-month-ahead systematic (beta) risk forecasts is common place in financial management. This paper evaluates the accuracy of these beta forecasts in three return measurement settings; monthly, daily and 30 minutes. It is found that the popular Fama-MacBeth beta from 5 years of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063045
The recent advent of high-frequency data and advances in financial econometrics allow investors to evaluate the accuracy of different beta (systematic risk) measurements. Benchmarking against the monthly realized beta formed by 30-minute data, we compare the popular Fama-MacBeth betas, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116615
Using high frequency data, we develop an event study method to test for level shifts in beta and measure abnormal returns for events that produce such level shifts. Using this method, we estimate abnormal returns for the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) announcement and find that its...
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Using high frequency data, we develop an event study method to test for level shifts in beta and measure abnormal returns for events that produce such level shifts. Using this method, we estimate abnormal returns for the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) announcement and find that its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938344
Motivated by empirical evidence of the asymmetry in the relationship between equity market return and volatility, where returns and conditional volatility are negatively correlated, we develop an approach that targets constant volatility in equity market portfolios. This volatility timing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971655
Analysis with high frequency returns has become a core part of modern financial econometrics. Particularly in the measurement and forecasting of variance, covariance, correlation and Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) beta. This paper studies CAPM beta measurement and forecasting with high...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848006