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Forecasting based pricing of Weather Derivatives (WDs) is a new approach in valuation of contingent claims on … nontradable underlyings. Standard techniques are based on historical weather data. Forward-looking information such as … meteorological forecasts or the implied market price of risk (MPR) are often not incorporated. We adopt a risk neutral approach (for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966324
. -- Weather derivatives ; seasonal variation ; temperature ; risk premia …Forecasting based pricing of Weather Derivatives (WDs) is a new approach in valuation of contingent claims on … nontradable underlyings. Standard techniques are based on historical weather data. Forward-looking information such as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009511156
. The weather derivative market is therefore incomplete. This paper implements a pricing methodology for weather derivatives … that can increase the precision of measuring weather risk. We applied continous autoregressive models (CAR) with seasonal … hedge weather future/options in the market. We propose to study the market price of risk, not only as a piecewise constant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003796146
volatility to ex post realized volatility by analyzing volatility risk premia changes due to hurricanes indicates that investors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012847804
volatility to ex post realized volatility by analyzing volatility risk premia changes due to hurricanes indicates that investors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850911
We investigate the uncertainty dynamics surrounding extreme weather events through the lens of option and stock markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181922
serial correlation and momentum trading on stocks with high predicted serial correlation. The trading strategy generates risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060179
We examine whether option prices correct for predictable bias in stock prices associated with accounting anomalies. Evidence from put-call parity violations suggests that they do not. Rather, option prices accurately track contemporaneous stock prices. Further analysis suggests that high costs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807960
Given the inherent complexity of financial markets, a wide area of research in the field of mathematical finance is devoted to develop accurate models for the pricing of contingent claims. Focusing on the stochastic volatility approach (i.e. we assume to describe asset volatility as an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861614
-sample and 31.2% out-of- sample. The model more accurately portrays the tail behavior of VIX risk-neutral distribution for both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838510