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An iconic model with high leverage and overvalued collateral assets is used to illustrate the amplification mechanism driving asset prices to 'overshoot' equilibrium when an asset bubble bursts--threatening widespread insolvency and what Richard Koo calls a 'balance sheet recession'. Besides...
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This paper is one of four in this Working Paper Series, focusing on financial liberalisation, along with those of Kupiec, Driscoll and Blundell-Wignall and Browne. It surveys recent work, both theoretical and empirical, on the question of market efficiency in various asset markets. A number of...
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This paper employs the quantile autoregressive (QAR) model to examine the forecasting relationship between stock volatility and crude oil volatility. We firstly employ the sup-Wald test to evaluate Granger causality across various quantile levels, which provides valuable information in...
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