Structural models are apowerful tool for business cycle and monetary analysis because they are invariant to either policy changes or external stocks. In this paper, we derive a sidrauski-type model in which both the demand and supply side are structural in the sense that the behavorial equations...

Estimates of cyclically-adjusted budget balances, correcting actual government budget balances for business cycle fluctuations, are produced by many institutions, including the European Commission, the IMF and the OECD. This paper presents an alternative approach for the cyclical adjustment of...

Markov switching models with time-varying means, variances and mixing weights are applied to characterize business cycle variation in the probability distribution and higher order moments of stock returns.