In this paper the probability of a player winning a tennis match is modelled, with the probability being updated on a point-by-point basis throughout the duration of the match. This modelled probability of winning the match is then compared on a point-by-point basis with the implied probability...

There is a wide literature on sports betting markets, a literature that examines the informational efficiency of these markets and uses them as laboratories to test for possible impacts of psychological factors on financial markets. The innovation of this study is the examination of price...

Two regularities in financial economics are that prices underreact to news events and that they display short-term momentum. This paper tests for the presence of these regularities in prediction markets offered by the betting exchange Betfair on the 2008 Ryder Cup Golf Competition. Betfair...