Showing 1 - 10 of 14
paper shows that, contrary to predictions in the literature that we can resolve uncertainty very quickly, the time to learn … may be on the order of thousands of years when uncertainty surrounds two parameters in the law of motion for temperature …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005784554
damages influence the choice of taxes or quotas. Much of the literature concerning uncertainty and learning about damages from … stock externalities such as climate change assumes that the uncertainty will eventually be resolved. These papers focus on … uncertainty, ignoring the possible impact of the regulator's optimal decisions on the learning process. Passive learning is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345553
This paper studies optimal experimentation by a monopolist who faces an unknown demand curve subject to random changes, and who maximises profits over an infinite horizon in continuous time. We show that there are two qualitatively very different regimes, determined by the discount rate and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005118645
We study the issue of project choice when a risk-averse agent must choose whether to invest in two projects of the same type (focus) or of different types (diversification). Projects of the same type are subject to common type-specific shocks. Hence focusing is more risky within each period, but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407512
investigate how the incentive for experimentation varies with the extent of parameter uncertainty regarding the short-run slope of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706771
In standard models of Bayesian learning agents reduce their uncertainty about an eventÂ’s true probability because …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009294744
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014420368
We study learning in a bandit problem where the outcome probabilities of six arms switch (jump) over time a restless bandit. In the experiment, optimal Bayesian learning tracks the jumps through learning of the probability of a jump or direct jump detection and, once a jump has occurred,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008922911
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012878659
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012704696