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We propose a nonparametric Bayesian approach for conducting inference on probabilistic surveys. We use this approach to study whether U.S. Survey of Professional Forecasters density projections for output growth and inflation are consistent with the noisy rational expectations hypothesis. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014080529
In this paper we take up Bayesian inference in general, multivariate stable distributions. We use approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) along with carefully crafted proposal distributions for the implementation of MCMC. The problem of selecting summary statistics in ABC is resolved through the...
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This paper is concerned with the problem of deriving expressions for the Bayesian predictive survival functions for the median of future sample of generalized order statistics having odd and even sizes. Both of the informative and future samples are drawn from a population whose distribution is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009769905
In Bayesian nonparametric inference, random discrete probability measures are commonly used as priors within hierarchical mixture models for density estimation and for inference on the clustering of the data. Recently it has been shown that they can also be exploited in species sampling...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343850
We analyze the general (multiallelic) Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium problem from an objective Bayesian testing standpoint. We argue that for small or moderate sample sizes the answer is rather sensitive to the prior chosen, and this suggests to carry out a sensitivity analysis with respect to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343881
The definition of vectors of dependent random probability measures is a topic of interest in applications to Bayesian statistics. They, indeed, represent dependent nonparametric prior distributions that are useful for modelling observables for which specific covariate values are known. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343891