We study how people think others update their beliefs upon encountering new evidence. We find that when two individuals share the same prior, one believes that new evidence cannot systematically shift the other's beliefs in either direction (Martingale property). When the two have different...

We experimentally study unanimity and majority voting rules in multilateral bargaining environments with stochastic future surplus. In these settings, reaching agreement when expected future surplus is sufficiently higher than the current surplus is inefficient. Theoretically, such...

Series Introduction. Volume Introduction. PART I: SETTING THE STAGE. 1. The Case for Mindless Economics, Faruk Gul and Wolfgang Pesendorfer. 2. The Case for Mindful Economics, Colin Camerer. 3. Whats So Informative about Choice?, Andrew Schotter. 4. On Two Points of View Regarding Revealed...