This paper develops a new market sentiment index for the Hong Kong stock market, one of the largest stock market in the world. The components of the sentiment measure include the turnover ratio, short-selling volume, money flow, HIBOR and return of the U.S. and Japanese markets. We also include...

In this paper, we introduce a new pseudo-Bayesian model to incorporate the impact of a financial Crisis and establish some properties of stock returns and investors' behaviors during the financial crisis and during recovery after crisis. Our proposed model can be applied to investigate some...