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We find that the acceleration and deceleration patterns of historical prices are predictive of future expected returns in momentum investing in the U.S. equity market from 1962 to 2014. Winners with accelerated historical price increases deliver higher future expected returns and losers with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951129
Previous studies have focused on which stocks are winners or losers but have paid little attention to the formation process of past returns. This paper develops a model showing that past returns and the formation process of past returns have a joint effect on future expected returns. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022151
This study examines the interactions between trading strategies based on the nearness to the 52-week high, the nearness to the 52-week low, and past returns. We offer evidence that the nearness to the 52-week low has predictive power for future average returns. Our results also reveal that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988620
This paper examines the influence of fund flow on fund performance in US domestic equity funds from 1993 to 2008. We find that fund flow has an asymmetric influence on fund performance. Inflow will significantly push up simultaneous fund performance, whereas outflow does not significantly result...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142251
As a visual mode of analysis is more intuitive to human cognition than algebraic numbers, we propose that the visual pattern of historical prices is a salient signal that attracts attention; thereby inducing overreaction. We construct a long-short portfolio, including the stocks that are more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063508
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To increase understanding of the real world of the fund manager, the authors apply principles from emotional finance. They report their findings from analysing in-depth interviews of 52 traditional and quantitative-oriented equity managers. In particular, they examine the importance of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904229